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Benny Geys and Bruno
Heyndels
Disentangling the Effects of Political
Fragmentation on Voter Turnout: the Flemish Municipal Elections
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Political fragmentation has been shown to be an important
determinant of electoral turnout. We introduce an empirical approach
that allows disentangling the impact of two dimensions of such
fragmentation: the number of parties and the size inequalities
between those parties. This is important as it allows us to assess
the size, significance and direction of the individual effects of
each element – an aspect disregarded in previous research. Our
empirical analysis of the 2000 Flemish municipal elections shows
that a higher number of parties competing in the election lowers
turnout. The size-inequalities between the parties exert a positive
– though insignificant – influence on voter participation. |
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